发信人: scott0793 (scott), 信区: TexasHoldem
标 题: Perfect play from villain??? 过程非常简单，但怎么分析（只有preflop action）, good or bad call????
关键字: range,folding， good or bad call?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Mar 6 23:20:16 2016, 美东)
周五的home game：1-2, full table(9 players).
hero和 A,B算比较熟了， A,B都是reasonable player，logical thinker， 所以hero
很少和他俩tangle in a hand。。 A 相对来说比较喜欢 open $6-$8 with suited
connectors or Ax suited， B 有牌的时候会small 3-bet to isolate and for value
也比较喜欢call a small raise。。。
A stack: deep, more than $500
B stack: $270
hero stack： $190
(1) A opens at UTG $10, B (at UTG +2) instant calls, fold to hero at button
hero 3-bet to $33, both blinds fold.
(2) A thinks for a short while (less than 30 seconds), and 4-bet to $105, B
(3) A seems that he does not notice B is tanking, and said to me: 'if you go
all in, I will instantly call.'
(4) I was, in fact, worried about B. Why is he tanking, I though he should
be instantly folding....
(5) After more than 1 minute, B behaves like that he really doesn't like A's
4-bet and reluctantly all in...
(6) I think it is a tell that B is strong.. But what is his range in this
case? I tank for really long.... During my tank, I noticed that A is also in
deep trouble, as he is counting his remaining chips, a sign that he might
make a crying fold rather than call.
A should not be holding AA because he will not 3-bet that big with AA,
somewhere between $80 and $90 is AA's range for him. I put A on QQ, AKs...
But what is B's range?? Can he make a crazy move with QQ or AKs???
I am in deep pain and showed my hand to the small blind, who is a fish. He
is very upset about my tank, and apparently thinks that I was slow rolling
or trying to get A in the hand as well...
I calculated again and again, since I already hold KK, the chance that both
of them are having AKs or one of them is also holding KK is very rare. My
image in A's and B's mind is tight, but 3-bet range is wider than normal
when I am at button (late position even BB)..
I am, in my mind, giving out the following range with probabilities
A: QQ, B: AA, chance is 30%
A: AKs/AQs, B: AKs/QQ/KK, composed chance: 30%
A: QQ, B: QQ/KK, chance: 20%
A: <QQ (JJ or Axs), B: QQ, AKs: 20%
I think I am ahead 70% of the time and make the call, and A instantly calls.
show hand: A: QQ, B: AA, hero KK, and A wins the pot with a Q on the turn.
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